Judge Chamberlain Haller: Mr. Gambini, didn’t I tell you the next time you appear in my court to dress appropriately?
Vinny Gambini: You were serious about that?

The above back-and-forth is from the classic Joe Pesci comedy titled “My Cousin Vinny”, when the judge takes offense to Vinny’s choice of attire. Right off you’re probably thinking we know too much about ridiculous movies, which we won’t deny. But for us it’s the perfect analogue for when somebody backs up talk with a plan for action. So, it was for us when the European Union’s “Fit for 55” legislation package was released on July 14th, because it meticulously outlines how the bloc will meet its emissions reduction targets for 2030 (55% decrease) and achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. It’s one thing to say your goal is to be carbon neutral by 2050, and another thing to outline a plan to achieve it.


So, what exactly is the plan? There are many legislative initiatives, including both revisions to existing legislation and new proposals:

  • An expansion of carbon sinks to increase the amount of carbon removed from the atmosphere
  • Strengthens emissions reduction targets for each Member for buildings, roads, agriculture, etc.
  • Raises target to produce 40% of energy from renewable sources by 2030
  • Raises target for reducing energy use at the EU level
  • ReFuelEU Aviation and FuelEU Maritime: blend increasing levels of sustainable aviation fuels and stimulates uptake of sustainable maritime fuels
  • Requires Members to expand charging capacity to promote transition to electric vehicles
  • Stronger CO2 emissions standards for cars and vans, including a mandate that all new cars as of 2035 will be zero-emission
  • Adds carbon price on imports of selected products. Adds customs duties to better enforce mechanism.
  • Better aligns the taxation of energy production with EU energy and climate policies.
fit for 55


Source: Bank of America (BAML)

So yes Vinny, the Judge was serious about that. “Fit for 55” is a wide-ranging and well thought out plan, with each spoke designed to interconnect and complement the hub. It also provides an action plan (and optimism) that yes, the EU can achieve its goal of reducing emissions by 55%. It’s also worth noting the plan will impact countries outside its jurisdiction as it subjects imports to many of its climate initiatives. Since Europe (EU-28) accounts for only 17% of current global emissions, some will view import restrictions as a way to disincentivize the outsourcing of Europe’s existing industries, or otherwise encourage non-European countries to “green” their industries. In our view these restrictions are specifically designed to encourage China (27% of global emissions) and the United States (15% of global emissions) to play ball.



Source: Bank of America (BAML)

This is where it will get interesting. Does “Fit for 55” kickstart a global footrace for climate change, with each country/region trying to outdo others? Or do non-EU countries file World Trade Organization (WTO) objections to the reach of “Fit for 55”? Before we even get there though, do European Union legislators reject or water down the proposal? Or is this all just virtue signaling before the United Nations Climate Change Conference that will be held in Glasgow in early November? It all comes down to our oft-repeated “virtuous cycle” where one key accelerator is public policy. In other words, Main Street (society) motivates K Street (politicians) which incentivizes Wall Street (investors), which in turn excites Main Street and motivates K Street and incentivizes Wall Street … and so on.

virtuous cycle

RENEW Performance Tracker

Eagle Global Renewables Infra Index

perf 7.24

Source: Bloomberg *Please review disclosure information at the end of this post.

Renewables Roundup

Europe’s Climate Masterplan Aims To Slash Emissions Within A Decade

Largest U.S. Renewable Developer Plans Transmission, Solar Surge

Shell to Buy Inspire Energy in Green Energy Push

Why ‘Floating Wind’ Is Key To The Energy Transition And How To Get It Onto The Sea Quickly

Can Retrofitting Dams For Hydro Provide A Green Energy Boost?

Why Capturing Renewable Natural Gas Has Legs In The Climate Conversation

Jobs Boom: Transition To Boost Energy Jobs, But Not All Regions To Benefit – Report

*No Warranties. The accuracy and/or completeness of any Eagle Global Advisors index, any data included therein, or any data from which it is based is not guaranteed by Eagle Global Advisors, and it shall have no liability for any errors, omissions, or interruptions therein. Eagle Global Advisors makes no warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from use of information provided by Eagle Global Advisors and used in this service, and Eagle Global Advisors expressly disclaim all warranties of suitability with respect thereto.

You Must Make Your Own Investment Decision. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees or expenses. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. You should not make a decision to invest in any investment fund or other vehicle based on the statements set forth in this document, and are advised to make an investment in any investment fund or other vehicle only after carefully evaluating the risks associated with investment in the investment fund, as detailed in the offering memorandum or similar document prepared by or on behalf of the issuer. This document does not contain, and does not purport to contain, the level of detail necessary to give sufficient basis to an investment decision. The addition, removal, or inclusion of a security in any Eagle Global Advisors index is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that security, nor is it investment advice.